
472 
FNUS54 KMRX 270916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH TODAY AND WILL 
LINGER OVER THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL PULL 
COLDER AIR INTO THE AREA BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT.     


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   49-54 (+2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  95-100 (+12) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SE  8 G16    SE 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.32         0.74         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      SE 31        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   47-52 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+20)  95-100 (+13) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  SE 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     SE 14 G26    SE 13 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.50         1.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      SE 39        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   47-52 (-4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+23)  95-100 (+11) 73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  S  5 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G30     S 15 G31     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         1.04         1.78         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 36                      S 23         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   49-54 (-4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   95-100 (+2)  70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     S 12 G24     SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         1.31         1.69         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      S 21         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   50-55 (-4)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+10)  95-100 (+4)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     SW 10 G19    SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         1.37         2.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 22         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   47-52 (-2)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   95-100 (+12) 67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  8 G16     E  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.57         1.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SE 29        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   47-52 (-5)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+10)  95-100 (+10) 70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         1.05         1.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 36                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
416 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 /316 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   47-52 (-6)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+9)   95-100 (+7)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW  7 G18    E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         1.23         1.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 38                      SE 18        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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