
772 
FNUS54 KMRX 262003
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OFF OF THE MID-ATLANTIC 
COAST AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PROGRESS 
TOWARDS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. BREEZY CONDITIONS AND INCREASED 
PRECIP CHANCES WILL BEGIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
EARLY TUESDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. ONCE IT PASSES... 
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL AS COOLER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND 
THIS SYSTEM.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  57-62 (-3)   48-53        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   58-63 (+23)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     SE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.32         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      SE 35        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+12)  56-61 (-2)   47-52        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   58-63 (+23)  94-99        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SE 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S 12 G22     SE 12 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.50         0.77         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      SE 40        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  55-60 (-1)   46-51        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+5)   62-67 (+26)  95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G24                  S  6 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S 12 G25     SE 13 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         1.26         1.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      SE 26        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  57-62 (-1)   47-52        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   66-71 (+11)  93-98        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S 11 G22     SE 12 G23    SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.38         1.44         1.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      SE 15        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  56-61 (-1)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   67-72 (+10)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G19                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE 10 G19    SE 11 G20    SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.34         1.46         1.86         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      S 25         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+14)  58-63 (-2)   46-51        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   60-65 (+17)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.58         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      SE 31        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  58-63 (-2)   45-50        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   63-68 (+14)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G18     SE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.47         1.15         1.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      E 10         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
303 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 /203 PM CST SAT NOV 26 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+11)  58-63 (-3)   43-48        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  67-72 (+11)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  9 G18     SE  8 G18    SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.85         1.49         1.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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