
300 
FNUS54 KMRX 222031
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS 
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...AS ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES 
EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL 
GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...WITH THE 
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   49-54 (-17)  33-38        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  54-59 (-11)  88-93        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    NW 11 G21    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            6 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N  9         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   48-53 (-16)  32-37        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-16)  86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G25    NW 14 G29    NW  7 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 35                     N  8         
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   51-56 (-12)  32-37        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   43-48 (-26)  82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G27    N  8 G19     N  5 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   55-60 (-11)  35-40        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  40-45 (-32)  79-84        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    N 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      E  5         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   56-61 (-9)   36-41        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   38-43 (-34)  73-78        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    N 11 G21     N  5 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            6 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.18         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 29                      SW  3        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   9 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   53-58 (-14)  33-38        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-12)  87-92        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            6 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   55-60 (-13)  34-39        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (-19)  87-92        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            6 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NE  9        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011 /231 PM CST TUE NOV 22 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   57-62 (-11)  35-40        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  42-47 (-29)  85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    N  8 G15     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            6 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

