
003 
FNUS54 KMRX 220916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO 
RIVER VALLEY TODAY...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING EAST 
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL GENERATE 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... 
ALONG WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   48-53 (-2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SW 13 G24    NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.56         0.05         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 32        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    47-52 (-2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   95-100 (+1)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  W 16 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S 14 G27     NW 14 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.68         0.06         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 33        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-230915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    46-51 (-3)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   95-100 (0)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G27                  NW 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G30     SW 16 G31    NW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.83         0.04         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-230915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   47-52 (-4)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   95-100 (0)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G24                  NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     SW 14 G27    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.90         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      N 24         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-230915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    47-52 (-3)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   95-100 (0)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     SW 12 G23    NW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.86         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      N 29         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   49-54 (-2)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-3)   95-100 (-1)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     SW 12 G24    NW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.66         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   47-52 (-6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   95-100 (0)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G22                  NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G24     SW 13 G24    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.89         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011 /500 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   48-53 (-5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G24     SW 11 G23    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.92         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     N 21         
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO IN A FEW AREAS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

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