
295 
FNUS54 KMRX 211945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THIS EVENING...BUT WILL HELP TO GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS OVER 
THE AREA. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE 
OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    68-73 (+3)   49-54        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (-8)   95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  9 G19     NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.07         0.56         0.05         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    66-71 (+2)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  56-61 (-10)  95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     S  9 G18     NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.68         0.06         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    65-70 (+2)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  53-58 (-13)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  NW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     S 11 G23     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.83         0.04         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    70-75 (+5)   50-55        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (-15)  95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G15                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     SW 10 G21    N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.90         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    70-75 (+5)   51-56        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  48-53 (-16)  95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9         S  9 G18     N 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.86         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    70-75 (+4)   50-55        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  57-62 (-7)   95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.66         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    69-74 (+3)   50-55        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (-8)   95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     SW  9 G19    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.89         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011 /145 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    70-75 (+3)   51-56        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  53-58 (-12)  95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     SW  9 G16    N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.92         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

