
618 
FNUS54 KMRX 201951
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS TOWARDS EASTERN TENNESSEE PRECEDED 
BY A BAND OF OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL 
GRADUALLY RISE AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT BRINGS IN 
INCREASED MOISTURE AND WARMER AIR. THESE SHOWERS WILL STICK AROUND 
THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION 
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  65-70 (+2)   52-57        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   62-67 (+10)  90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  6        S  5         S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.14         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  63-68 (-1)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   60-65 (+9)   87-92        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   63-68 (+1)   50-55        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   60-65 (+1)   89-94        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G20                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     W  5         S  5         S 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 21         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   66-71 (+2)   52-57        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   62-67 (-1)   88-93        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 23         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-212100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   67-72 (+2)   53-58        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   58-63 (-3)   84-89        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+10)  66-71 (0)    51-56        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   62-67 (+8)   91-96        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  6 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   66-71 (+3)   53-58        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   63-68 (+5)   89-94        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.21         0.12         0.04         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 24         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011 /151 PM CST SUN NOV 20 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   67-72 (+3)   54-59        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 65-70 (-3)   92-97        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.12         0.06         0.07         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     S 25         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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