
395 
FNUS54 KMRX 200952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM 
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING 
TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE REGION...WITH SCATTERED 
SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND LINGERING THROUGH MONDAY 
NIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO 
RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   51-56 (+10)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+21)  95-100 (+9)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  9 G20    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 16         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+7)   50-55 (+10)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+15)  95-100 (+3)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W  6 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  8 G18    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 20         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+10)  50-55 (+7)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  95-100 (+10) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 SW  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 11 G26    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 17         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   52-57 (+8)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   95-100 (+10) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 15         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY.  CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   50-55 (+8)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   95-100 (+7)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 16         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH... 
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   52-57 (+10)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  95-100 (+5)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 15         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  53-58 (+8)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+12)  95-100 (+8)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  9 G18    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 14         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011 /500 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   54-59 (+6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  95-100 (+10) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 14         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

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