
745 
FNUS54 KMRX 200230 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN 
AS SOUTH WESTERLY FLOW ALLOWS MOISTURE TO FILTER IN WHICH WILL 
MODERATE THE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A COLD 
FRONT...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE MIDWEST...WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE SUNDAY EVENING. THIS 
SYSTEM WILL BECOME ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL KEEP 
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210330-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+18)  62-67 (+4)   51-56        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+19)  56-61 (+28)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G16    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.14         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210330-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+18)  61-66 (+6)   48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 56-61 (+21)  91-96        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SW  7        SW  5 G15    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210330-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+19)  60-65 (+8)   47-52        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+19)  57-62 (+19)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     SW  9 G17    S  8 G20     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210330-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+17)  64-69 (+8)   49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+23)  57-62 (+11)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G22    S  9 G16     S  7 G17     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.11         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210330-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+19)  65-70 (+8)   49-54        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  54-59 (+3)   95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+17)  63-68 (+5)   49-54        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 57-62 (+20)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SW  9 G18    SW  5        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.13         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+16)  63-68 (+7)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+25)  60-65 (+20)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G20     SW 11 G20    S  7 G16     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.29         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210330-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
930 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 /830 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+15)  64-69 (+6)   51-56        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+28)  62-67 (+16)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     S  9 G17     S  7         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.23         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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