
775 
FNUS54 KMRX 191630 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 
TODAY...WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL HELP TO CREATE A 
WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE REGION... 
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL 
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AROUND THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY BY SUNDAY 
NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   36-41 (+13)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   95-100 (+23) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  7 G16     SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 24         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   34-39 (+15)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   95-100 (+15) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  9 G18     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 21         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   36-41 (+14)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   95-100 (+25) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S 11 G23     SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   40-45 (+14)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+14)  95-100 (+28) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     SE 10 G20    S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   39-44 (+16)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+19)  95-100 (+20) 51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  6        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   36-41 (+13)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   95-100 (+19) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  5        SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   42-47 (+14)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+12)  95-100 (+30) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  8 G18     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 /1030 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   45-50 (+13)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+18)  95-100 (+33) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  9 G18     S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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