
237 
FNUS54 KMRX 181951
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND KEEPING CONDITIONS COOL AND DRY. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND 
WILL CONTINUE AS THE HIGH DRIFTS EASTWARD BRINGING SOUTHWESTERLY 
FLOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL INCREASE 
SUNDAY EVENING AS A SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA AND BRIEFLY STALLS... 
KEEPING RAIN CHANCES UP THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+5)   53-58 (+6)   40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-7)   28-33 (+7)   88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     S  8 G18     SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+5)   51-56 (+5)   36-41        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   29-34 (+5)   89-94        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G15    S  8 G17     S  9 G19     W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+4)   51-56 (+5)   37-42        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    39-44 (+13)  89-94        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 10 G22     S 12 G25     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   55-60 (+6)   39-44        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+10)  42-47 (+17)  91-96        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G18                 S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S 10 G20     SE 10 G20    SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+2)   56-61 (+7)   39-44        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+11)  40-45 (+14)  86-91        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G15                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G15    SE  6 G15    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   54-59 (+5)   37-42        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   34-39 (+10)  91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  6        SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   54-59 (+4)   40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   37-42 (+13)  92-97        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G17                  S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  8 G19     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
251 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 /151 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+7)   55-60 (+4)   41-46        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   44-49 (+20)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     S  9 G17     S 10 G19     S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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