
661 
FNUS54 KMRX 180813
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING COOL AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS. A 
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT...AND BECOME 
NEARLY STATIONARY AROUND THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY. 
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HELP TO GENERATE SHOWERS EACH DAY THROUGH 
TUESDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   21-26 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-24)  64-69 (-2)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   20-25 (+3)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-24)  66-71 (-1)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    SE 10 G20    S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 20        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   21-26 (+3)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-18)  68-73 (-3)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   23-28 (+2)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  77-82 (+10)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SE 10 G21    S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 20         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   21-26 (+1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-18)  82-87 (+11)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  8 G18    SE  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S 18         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   23-28 (+3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-21)  73-78 (-1)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S 17         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   26-31 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   69-74 (0)    30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  5         S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 23         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 /500 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   27-32 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   72-77 (+5)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  9 G21     S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 24         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

