
673 
FNUS54 KMRX 162023
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL REMAIN ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY 
THURSDAY MORNING...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY EXITS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. 
A FEW SNOW SHOWERS COULD AFFECT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST 
TENNESSEE...AS WELL AS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...BUT NOT MUCH IF ANY 
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
 
THE PASSING FRONT WILL GIVE WAY TO DRIER CONDITIONS AND COOLER TEMPS 
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD 
BACK IN ACROSS THE REGION...STARING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH 
LATE SATURDAY.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-18)  40-45 (-22)  21-26        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   36-41 (-38)  68-73        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G18     NW 10 G19    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-16)  40-45 (-22)  19-24        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  39-44 (-38)  75-80        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G18     NW 11 G21    NW  8 G18    S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  41-46 (-20)  20-25        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  33-38 (-45)  80-85        16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    N 10 G19     N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-17)  46-51 (-18)  22-27        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  28-33 (-50)  74-79        16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N 11 G20     N  6 G15     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  46-51 (-18)  20-25        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  27-32 (-50)  78-83        14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 11 G20     N  6 G15     SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  44-49 (-21)  21-26        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  33-38 (-42)  75-80        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SE  5        
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  46-51 (-18)  24-29        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  27-32 (-51)  76-81        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G19     N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
323 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011 /223 PM CST WED NOV 16 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  48-53 (-18)  25-30        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  25-30 (-55)  74-79        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G19     N 10 G18     LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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