
663 
FNUS54 KMRX 160933
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A COLD FRONT JUST TO THE 
NORTHWEST OF TENNESSEE. A WARM SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...IN ADVANCE OF 
THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH MUCH 
COLDER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN 
THURSDAY WITH SKIES CLEARING. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   35-40 (-18)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    95-100 (0)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G24     N 10 G23     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    36-41 (-16)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     N  9 G19     NW 10 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.21         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   35-40 (-19)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    95-100 (+2)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G31                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G32     N  9 G18     N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 28. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   38-43 (-19)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G28                  N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G29    N 11 G20     N  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     N 21         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   101 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   39-44 (-17)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+9)   95-100 (+1)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    N  9 G17     N  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.12         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   110 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    38-43 (-17)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    N  9 G21     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    36-41 (-20)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  95-100 (+2)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G25    N  9 G20     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.03         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 17         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
433 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011 /333 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   37-42 (-21)  48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-16)  95-100 (-1)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G27    N 11 G22     N  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     N 20         
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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