
832 
FNUS54 KMRX 151940 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...KEEPING TEMPERATURES 
ABOVE NORMAL. SHOWERS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY THIS EVENING...IN 
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   60-65 (+3)   35-40        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 62-67 (-8)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G19                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G16     NW  9 G21    N 10 G23     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.49         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   60-65 (+1)   35-40        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 63-68 (-6)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     SW  8 G19    NW  9 G18    NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.53         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   61-66 (0)    35-40        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 65-70 (-9)   95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G25                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G24    SW 12 G26    N  9 G20     N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.57         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   66-71 (+4)   38-43        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  62-67 (-11)  95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G21                 N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW 13 G25    N 11 G24     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.61         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   68-73 (+6)   39-44        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  62-67 (-11)  95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G19                 N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 13 G24    N  9 G19     N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.81         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   63-68 (0)    38-43        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  61-66 (-8)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G20                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G19    N  8 G21     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.46         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   62-67 (-2)   36-41        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  59-64 (-17)  95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     NW 10 G21    N  8 G20     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.46         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011 /140 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   65-70 (+1)   37-42        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  59-64 (-17)  95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     W 10 G22     N  9 G21     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.44         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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