
215 
FNUS54 KMRX 150734
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES 
ABOVE NORMAL. LIGHT SHOWERS TODAY WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY THIS 
EVENING...IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   51-56 (-7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+11)  95-100 (+8)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    S  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.80         0.55         
LAL                   2            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   50-55 (-6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.45         0.59         
LAL                   2            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 14         
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    51-56 (-6)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   95-100 (+4)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G26                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G25    S  7 G17     N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.44         0.63         
LAL                   2            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 16         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   54-59 (-4)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   95-100 (+6)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G20                 W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.47         0.67         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   54-59 (-4)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   95-100 (+4)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.41         0.87         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   53-58 (-5)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   95-100 (+6)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.57         0.52         
LAL                   2            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   54-59 (-5)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   95-100 (+4)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G21                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    S  6 G15     NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.89         0.52         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     N  9         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
234 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011 /134 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   55-60 (-5)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G19                 NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  5         NE  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.81         0.50         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W  9         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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