
806 
FNUS54 KMRX 141931
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...KEEPING TEMPERATURES 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT...AND WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY TUESDAY EVENING...IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   65-70 (-1)   51-56        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+21)  62-67 (+11)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G20                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  9 G19    S  8 G18     N  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.13         1.13         0.79         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   64-69 (-1)   50-55        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  59-64 (+6)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    SW  9 G21    S  7 G17     N  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.49         0.83         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   64-69 (0)    51-56        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 59-64 (-4)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 W 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G27    SW 12 G25    S 10 G26     N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.48         0.77         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-152045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   67-72 (+2)   54-59        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  60-65 (-5)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G20                 SW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S  9 G20     S  9 G21     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.50         0.72         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   68-73 (+4)   54-59        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 56-61 (-7)   95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 SW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G16     S  7 G16     NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.38         0.73         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   67-72 (-1)   53-58        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  62-67 (+5)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G21                 W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    SW 10 G21    S  5         N  5 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.77         0.80         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   66-71 (-2)   54-59        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 66-71 (+4)   95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G21                 W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 11 G21    S  8 G16     N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.14         1.06         0.62         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
231 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011 /131 PM CST MON NOV 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   67-72 (-1)   55-60        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 68-73 (+1)   95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G19                 W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  9 G19     S  7 G16     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.12         0.84         0.52         
LAL                   1            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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