
382 
FNUS54 KMRX 140756
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...KEEPING TEMPERATURES 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY 
...AND WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY TUESDAY EVENING...IN ADVANCE OF AN 
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+9)   53-58 (+8)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+19)  91-96 (+11)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G23                 SW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    SW  9 G22    SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR
50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+11)  51-56 (+9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+14)  91-96 (+7)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 SW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  8 G19    SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+11)  52-57 (+8)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  92-97 (+9)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G26                 SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    SW 11 G26    SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   54-59 (+8)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+13)  91-96 (+3)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    S  9 G19     S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   54-59 (+9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+14)  91-96 (+2)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    S  7 G16     S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 22        
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+7)   53-58 (+9)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+15)  92-97 (+5)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G24                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    SW  6 G16    SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   54-59 (+5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  93-98 (+8)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G24                 SW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    S  8 G19     S 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 /156 AM CST MON NOV 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   56-61 (+5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  93-98 (+6)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G22    S  8 G17     S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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