
761 
FNUS54 KMRX 131939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA 
TONIGHT...KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY BECAUSE 
OF INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW. A SIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EXISTS ON 
MONDAY  WITH CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY AND BECOMING WIDESPREAD BY 
TUESDAY EVENING IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  64-69 (+4)   51-56        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+26)  53-58 (+25)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW 11 G20    SW  7 G18    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   61-66 (+1)   49-54        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+27)  58-63 (+28)  94-99        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW  8 G16    SW  7        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+10)  58-63 (-2)   50-55        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+20)  66-71 (+30)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    SW 11 G22    SW  9 G21    S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  62-67 (0)    52-57        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+13)  65-70 (+27)  94-99        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW  9 G17    S  8 G15     S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  62-67 (0)    52-57        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   66-71 (+28)  94-99        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.04         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   74 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  65-70 (+1)   51-56        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+13)  57-62 (+26)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  5        S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+11)  64-69 (0)    52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+21)  62-67 (+30)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW 11 G20    S  7 G15     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
239 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011 /139 PM CST SUN NOV 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  64-69 (-2)   54-59        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+19)  67-72 (+34)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW 10 G19    S  8         S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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