
944 
FNUS54 KMRX 131059
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINNING TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA TODAY. THE 
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS WILL TIGHTEN TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO 
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN 
INCREASING ON MONDAY AND BECOME WIDESPREAD BY TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF 
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141200-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   46-51 (+11)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+6)   84-89 (+24)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G24                 SW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    S 11 G22     SW 12 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            118 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141200-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   42-47 (+8)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   82-87 (+23)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    S 10 G21     SW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 22        
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141200-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   44-49 (+10)  62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   81-86 (+19)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G29                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G31    S 15 G32     SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141200-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   46-51 (+14)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   87-92 (+14)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     S 11 G24     SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141200-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   45-50 (+16)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   87-92 (+10)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S  8 G18     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         1 PM         
PRECIP END                         7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   44-49 (+13)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   89-94 (+14)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    S  7 G15     SW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   49-54 (+12)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   86-91 (+19)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    S 12 G23     SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            135 VERY GOOD             76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141200-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
559 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011 /459 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   49-54 (+12)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   95-100 (+25) 63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     S 10 G21     S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            126 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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