
623 
FNUS54 KMRX 031847
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...PRODUCING AREAS OF RAIN OR DRIZZLE. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL THEN EXIT THE REGION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE 
BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   54-59 (-4)   30-35        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  52-57 (+10)  92-97        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G16     N 11 G18     NE  8 G17    SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 23                     E 12         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   52-57 (-4)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  53-58 (+12)  91-96        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        N  9 G18     NE  6        SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 21                     E 10         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-041945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   52-57 (-2)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+22)  52-57 (+11)  92-97        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     N  8 G16     NE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-041945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   55-60 (-1)   32-37        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   49-54 (-1)   85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     N  8 G17     NE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-041945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   55-60 (-1)   31-36        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    49-54 (-1)   88-93        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   56-61 (-3)   31-36        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+4)   50-55 (+5)   92-97        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         N  9 G18     NE  5        E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      E  9         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    56-61 (-2)   33-38        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+11)  49-54 (-3)   86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     N  9 G18     NE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      E  7         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EDT THU NOV 3 2011 /145 PM CDT THU NOV 3 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   57-62 (-1)   34-39        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  47-52 (-6)   80-85        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     N 10 G18     N  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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