
087 
FNUS54 KMRX 030623
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE 
AREA FRIDAY MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND WARM AFTERNOON 
TEMPERATURES FOR THIS WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   41-46 (+7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   90-95 (+9)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.63         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NE 24        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   39-44 (+6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   95-100 (+16) 49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.91         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NE 24        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-040730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-8)   37-42 (+5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+23)  95-100 (+24) 45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.35         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      NE 26        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-040730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-7)   38-43 (+7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+27)  93-98 (+5)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G22                  N  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      NE 28        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-040730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-7)   38-43 (+10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+31)  93-98 (0)    38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  N  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G18     LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      NE 28        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   41-46 (+10)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+10)  93-98 (+5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.68         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NE 24        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   40-45 (+5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+20)  95-100 (+14) 47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.23         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      NE 25        
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
223 AM EDT THU NOV 3 2011 /123 AM CDT THU NOV 3 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-7)   38-43 (+1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+26)  93-98 (+12)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    W  6 G18     N  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      NE 28        
DISPERSION            114 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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