
146 
FNUS54 KMRX 021911
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING PRODUCING PERIODS
OF SHOWERS.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE 
AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   59-64 (-3)   41-46        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   34-39 (+8)   95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.34         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     NE 21        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   57-62 (-3)   39-44        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   34-39 (+6)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.52         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      NE 21        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-032015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   53-58 (-8)   38-43        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   46-51 (+26)  95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G16     SW  5        N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         0.31         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      NE 22        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-032015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   58-63 (-6)   39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+12)  48-53 (+26)  92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.44         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      NE 22        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-032015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   59-64 (-6)   39-44        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  48-53 (+30)  89-94        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 N  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G18    LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.47         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NE 22        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   59-64 (-4)   41-46        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   41-46 (+14)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.38         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      NE 22        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   56-61 (-8)   40-45        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   50-55 (+23)  95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.38         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NE 23        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EDT WED NOV 2 2011 /211 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   58-63 (-7)   39-44        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+13)  51-56 (+25)  94-99        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G19    W  6 G18     N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      NE 23        
DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

