
400 
FNUS54 KMRX 011848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE...WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRY 
WEATHER AND MILDER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE NEXT 
CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   62-67 (+5)   35-40        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  26-31 (-2)   81-86        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   59-64 (+5)   36-41        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   27-32 (-8)   79-84        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+8)   59-64 (+5)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  27-32 (-3)   81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   62-67 (+1)   35-40        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  23-28 (-7)   92-97        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   63-68 (+4)   32-37        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   20-25 (-9)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   74 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   63-68 (+5)   34-39        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   25-30 (-7)   88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   63-68 (+2)   36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  26-31 (-7)   87-92        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EDT TUE NOV 1 2011 /148 PM CDT TUE NOV 1 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   64-69 (0)    39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  26-31 (-7)   90-95        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                              5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

