
404 
FNUS54 KMRX 311906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
TODAY...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING OVER NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND 
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS COULD OCCUR THIS 
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES 
AND CHILLY OVERNIGHT LOWS.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    58-63 (+7)   33-38        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   27-32 (-14)  76-81        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   54-59 (+5)   32-37        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   28-33 (-12)  75-80        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-012015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   54-59 (+5)   34-39        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+10)  25-30 (-13)  72-77        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     S  5         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-012015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   60-65 (+4)   34-39        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   24-29 (-15)  78-83        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SE  9        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-012015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   59-64 (+3)   31-36        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 24-29 (-15)  86-91        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SE  9        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   58-63 (+4)   30-35        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  27-32 (-16)  84-89        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     S  5         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   60-65 (+5)   34-39        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   27-32 (-16)  81-86        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011 /206 PM CDT MON OCT 31 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   62-67 (+3)   35-40        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 25-30 (-14)  83-88        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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