
270 
FNUS54 KMRX 310925
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
TODAY...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING OVER NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND 
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS COULD OCCUR THIS 
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES 
AND CHILLY OVERNIGHT LOWS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   30-35 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   85-90 (+3)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW  5        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   28-33 (-1)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   85-90 (0)    27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9200                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  6         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    27-32 (-4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   82-87 (+6)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N  3         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   29-34 (-1)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   79-84 (-3)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N  3         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   28-33 (0)    59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   77-82 (-6)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N  3         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   28-33 (0)    58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   93-98 (+3)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   30-35 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   88-93 (+12)  24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
525 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2011 /425 AM CDT MON OCT 31 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   31-36 (-2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   83-88 (+5)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     N  3         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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