
074 
FNUS54 KMRX 281916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ALONG A COLD FRONT TO OUR 
SOUTH...SPREADING SHOWERS INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH 
SHOWERS MOVING OUT OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. COLDER AIR OVER 
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...MAY ALLOW 
THE RAIN SHOWERS TO CHANGE TO OR MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW LATE 
TONIGHT. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES 
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMALS FOR LATE OCTOBER.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   45-50 (+3)   27-32        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  48-53 (-32)  86-91        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   43-48 (0)    24-29        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  44-49 (-32)  90-95        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G23    NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-292030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-13)  45-50 (0)    25-30        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  35-40 (-47)  83-88        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-292030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  50-55 (0)    26-31        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  31-36 (-46)  80-85        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      SE  6        
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-292030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  51-56 (0)    25-30        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  27-32 (-51)  80-85        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 30                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   48-53 (+2)   26-31        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  41-46 (-36)  90-95        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  51-56 (+4)   28-33        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  36-41 (-38)  86-91        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 /216 PM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  54-59 (+5)   29-34        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  31-36 (-42)  82-87        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      SE  7        
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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