
830 
FNUS54 KMRX 280752
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ALONG A COLD FRONT TO OUR 
SOUTH...SPREADING SHOWERS INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. COLDER 
AIR OVER SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...
MAY ALLOW THE RAIN SHOWERS TO CHANGE TO OR MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW
LATE TONIGHT. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH 
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMALS FOR LATE OCTOBER.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  31-36 (-7)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+15)  95-100 (+8)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         E  6         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      N 17         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  31-36 (-8)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+12)  95-100 (+6)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      NW  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G16     SE  6 G16    NW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.28         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-290900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  30-35 (-12)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+19)  95-100 (+6)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     N 21         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-290900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  34-39 (-12)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+16)  95-100 (+8)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      N 24         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               117 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-290900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-10)  35-40 (-13)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+19)  95-100 (+8)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            4                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     N 25         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    130 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             7                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  33-38 (-8)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+15)  95-100 (+7)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         E  6         NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      N 17         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               89 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  33-38 (-10)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+12)  95-100 (+9)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7 G15                 N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G16    N  7 G15     N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N 18         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
352 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 /252 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  34-39 (-12)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+12)  94-99 (+7)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  8 G16                 N  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  7         N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N 23         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   119 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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