
338 
FNUS54 KMRX 271900
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS 
EVENING LED BY A BROKEN BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE. 
BEHIND THE FRONT...COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN LEAVING MAXIMUM 
TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S AS ANOTHER 
ROUND OF SHOWERS MOVE IN TOMORROW. EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND.  
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   44-49 (-14)  29-34        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   67-72 (+5)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.21         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   43-48 (-14)  29-34        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   70-75 (+9)   95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.32         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   43-48 (-15)  29-34        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   72-77 (+12)  95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.36         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   47-52 (-14)  32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  73-78 (+15)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.31         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      N 20         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   46-51 (-15)  32-37        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+11)  74-79 (+17)  95-100       27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.34         0.12         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   45-50 (-14)  31-36        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   69-74 (+7)   95-100       34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.26         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   47-52 (-13)  32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   67-72 (+5)   93-98        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.20         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011 /200 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   48-53 (-13)  33-38        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   70-75 (+10)  95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.24         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

