
612 
FNUS54 KMRX 270803
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION...BRINGING A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY.  
A STRAY THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.  ANOTHER ROUND 
OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE IN ON FRIDAY. EXPECT COOLER AND DRIER 
CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.  
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-11)  37-42 (-8)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+24)  89-94 (+3)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  5         E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      E 12         
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-10)  37-42 (-7)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+25)  89-94 (+4)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    N  6         SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      SE 10        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-280915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-9)   39-44 (-6)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+24)  91-96 (+8)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    NE  5        NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.18         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      S  9         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-280915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  43-48 (-4)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+23)  90-95 (+9)   68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    N  6         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.16         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SE  8        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-280915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   43-48 (-3)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+24)  90-95 (+11)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    N  5         S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.15         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      S  9         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-11)  39-44 (-7)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+25)  89-94 (+7)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.14         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      E 13         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  41-46 (-7)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+23)  86-91 (+2)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NE  5        NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.12         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NE 13        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
403 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2011 /303 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-11)  43-48 (-6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  86-91 (+5)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9         NE  6        NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.06         0.15         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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