
899 
FNUS54 KMRX 261849
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT...BRINGING 
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM 
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND.  
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   58-63 (-11)  36-41        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  53-58 (+17)  88-93        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  8 G18     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.05         0.09         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SE  6        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   58-63 (-9)   36-41        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+16)  57-62 (+23)  83-88        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8 G18     NW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.04         0.16         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      SE  5        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   58-63 (-9)   38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+21)  59-64 (+25)  84-89        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    W  8 G16     N  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.04         0.19         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SE  5        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   62-67 (-9)   42-47        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+9)   56-61 (+23)  82-87        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  8         N  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.04         0.17         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SE  3        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   64-69 (-6)   43-48        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   57-62 (+25)  82-87        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.03         0.16         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   11 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   62-67 (-8)   38-43        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   54-59 (+19)  82-87        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.05         0.15         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      E  5         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   60-65 (-11)  39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   57-62 (+20)  85-90        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.06         0.13         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2011 /149 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   62-67 (-10)  41-46        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   53-58 (+17)  80-85        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  6        N  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.05         0.16         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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