
020 
FNUS54 KMRX 251831
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY... 
RESULTING IN DRY AND WARM WEATHER UNDER CLEAR SKIES. A COLD FRONT 
WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON THURSDAY... 
BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY...AND COOLER 
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   69-74 (0)    46-51        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-9)   30-35 (+3)   82-87        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  8 G18    NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   67-72 (+2)   45-50        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-10)  28-33 (-2)   81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW  5        W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   68-73 (+2)   44-49        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-9)   23-28 (-6)   81-86        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 SW 12 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G17     SW  8        SW  9 G21    W 10 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   71-76 (+1)   46-51        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-6)   23-28 (-3)   81-86        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW  8        S  7 G17     W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   70-75 (-1)   44-49        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   22-27 (-1)   79-84        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  5         W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   70-75 (0)    47-52        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   28-33 (0)    83-88        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  5        NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   71-76 (-1)   48-53        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   30-35 (+1)   80-85        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  7 G16    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
230 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011 /130 PM CDT TUE OCT 25 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   72-77 (-1)   48-53        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   28-33 (+1)   80-85        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  7        NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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