
734 
FNUS54 KMRX 241909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT UNTIL WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN 
DRY...WARM WEATHER WITH CLEAR SKIES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON THURSDAY BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES 
FOR SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   68-73 (+3)   43-48        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   25-30 (-6)   79-84        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN 
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   66-71 (+5)   40-45        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   26-31 (-8)   80-85        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      S  6         W  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 
NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-252015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   67-72 (+5)   40-45        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   20-25 (-11)  76-81        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 
5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 
LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-252015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   70-75 (+4)   41-46        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   20-25 (-10)  84-89        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 
5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-252015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   71-76 (+4)   38-43        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+6)   17-22 (-11)  87-92        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 
NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   70-75 (+4)   39-44        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   26-31 (-6)   89-94        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   70-75 (+2)   42-47        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   26-31 (-6)   85-90        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN 
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011 /210 PM CDT MON OCT 24 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   72-77 (+2)   44-49        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   26-31 (-5)   85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST 
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

