
276 
FNUS54 KMRX 212038
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY...AND WILL CONTROL OUR 
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY AIR AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL 
DOMINATE THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 70S 
BEGINNING MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   58-63 (+6)   32-37        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  34-39 (-6)   83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   53-58 (+3)   31-36        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   37-42 (-6)   86-91        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   54-59 (+4)   32-37        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   31-36 (-7)   78-83        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      NW  3        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   60-65 (+5)   32-37        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  29-34 (-8)   80-85        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      N  5         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   60-65 (+5)   31-36        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   27-32 (-7)   83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   59-64 (+5)   31-36        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  32-37 (-7)   87-92        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   61-66 (+5)   32-37        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  32-37 (-3)   85-90        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
438 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011 /338 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   62-67 (+4)   33-38        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  30-35 (-3)   86-91        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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