
263 
FNUS54 KMRX 200904
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY. COOLER AIR WILL SETTLE IN BEHIND 
AN EXITING COLD FRONT. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE FOR 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A WARMING AND DRYING TREND EXPECTED BY 
THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  36-41 (0)    50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   86-91 (-9)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G26                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W  9 G18     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      W 14         
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-15)  34-39 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  87-92 (-8)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G29                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     W 11 G21     W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 41                      W 15         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   32-37 (-2)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-26)  92-97 (-4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G32                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G30     W 10 G22     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   33-38 (-4)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-32)  89-94 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W  6 G16     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  33 FAIR      

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   31-36 (-5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-32)  91-96 (+6)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W  7 G16     NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  36-41 (-1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-11)  86-91 (-9)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G27                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G27    W  9 G17     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      W 13         
DISPERSION            119 VERY GOOD             43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS...MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FT. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   35-40 (-3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-24)  90-95 (-4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W  7 G17     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      W 12         
DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
504 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 /404 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   34-39 (-4)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-24)  90-95 (0)    43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W  6 G15     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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