
740 
FNUS54 KMRX 191905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY INTO THURSDAY...WITH COOLER AIR AND BREEZY 
CONDITIONS SETTLING IN BEHIND AN EXITING COLD FRONT.   THE COOLER 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A 
WARMING AND DRYING TREND EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  44-49 (-15)  36-41        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 63-68 (-4)   87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G24                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    SW 14 G25    W  9 G18     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-16)  43-48 (-15)  34-39        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  60-65 (-12)  88-93        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G26                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 15 G27     W 11 G21     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  44-49 (-7)   33-38        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  55-60 (-26)  92-97        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 15 G27     W 10 G22     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   49-54 (-5)   34-39        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   50-55 (-28)  90-95        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 14 G25     W  6 G16     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-13)  49-54 (-6)   32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   48-53 (-25)  91-96        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 13 G24     W  7 G16     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  47-52 (-12)  36-41        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 59-64 (-13)  86-91        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G26                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    SW 15 G27    W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   49-54 (-1)   35-40        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (-26)  90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W 14 G25     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 /205 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   51-56 (+2)   35-40        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   50-55 (-24)  89-94        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 13 G25     W  5 G15     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

