
434 
FNUS54 KMRX 180817
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AROUND THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT 
FOOTHILLS...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AGAIN TODAY 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION BY THIS EVENING...BRINGING A 
STRONG COLD FRONT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION... 
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR 
ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION 
BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    50-55 (+2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   91-96 (+7)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE 10 G21    W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.34         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 20         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY LIGHT 
FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   50-55 (+3)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   91-96 (+11)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G26     SE 17 G30    W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.26         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 18         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   49-54 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   92-97 (+14)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G24     S 16 G29     W  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.21         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S 
TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    50-55 (+2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   89-94 (+8)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      NW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SE 15 G28    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.24         0.12         
LAL                   2            5            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 17         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   50-55 (+5)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   92-97 (+5)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SE 11 G22    NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.11         
LAL                   2            4            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 17         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   51-56 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   91-96 (+7)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G16     SE  9 G20    W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.26         0.27         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY LIGHT 
FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY LIGHT 
FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    48-53 (-2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   90-95 (+7)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6 G15     W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.35         0.19         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 17         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011 /500 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    47-52 (-4)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    87-92 (+5)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW  5        W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.38         0.08         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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