
795 
FNUS54 KMRX 170814
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY. A STRONG 
COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY 
NIGHT...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD 
FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   50-55 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  75-80 (+2)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   49-54 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   70-75 (-2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   48-53 (+4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   70-75 (-5)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  6        S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    49-54 (+6)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   74-79 (-8)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   46-51 (+5)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   74-79 (-12)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   51-56 (+4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   72-77 (-3)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   51-56 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   73-78 (-1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 /500 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   51-56 (+3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   76-81 (-1)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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