
551 
FNUS54 KMRX 161928
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY 
LEAVING CONDITIONS CLEAR AND DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL STAY ABOVE 
NORMAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES 
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...PRODUCING HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN 
BEHIND THE FRONT LEAVING TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER 
OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  73-78 (0)    48-53        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   32-37 (+10)  80-85        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      S 18         
DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+9)   73-78 (+1)   44-49        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   26-31 (+4)   81-86        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    W  8 G17     SW  5        S 10 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   73-78 (+1)   42-47        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   22-27 (-1)   82-87        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G20                 S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    SW  8 G16    S  7 G15     SW 10 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   78-83 (+2)   42-47        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   21-26 (-3)   91-96        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  7        S  5         SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   79-84 (+4)   40-45        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-12)  19-24 (-4)   91-96        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          2                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   76-81 (+1)   45-50        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   29-34 (+7)   87-92        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   76-81 (0)    47-52        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   30-35 (+5)   84-89        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  8        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     S 22         
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
328 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 /228 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   80-85 (+2)   48-53        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    27-32 (+2)   88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 22         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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