
491 
FNUS54 KMRX 160749
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS 
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 
MONDAY...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL 
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS 
THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT 
WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...AND 
BRING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+10)  48-53 (+11)  73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   75-80 (0)    35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW 10 G20    SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 29         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN 
THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   46-51 (+10)  71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-5)   80-85 (+8)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  9 G19    SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 26         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN 
THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   45-50 (+8)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   80-85 (+6)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 10 G22    SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 23         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   47-52 (+10)  77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   80-85 (-1)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  8 G16     SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   46-51 (+11)  78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-1)   76-81 (-10)  24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  5         SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 23         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   48-53 (+10)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   81-86 (+4)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7 G15    SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 26         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN 
THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+8)   48-53 (+8)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    81-86 (-1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  8 G17    SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 /500 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+7)   48-53 (+7)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   82-87 (+3)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  7 G15    SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

