
669 
FNUS54 KMRX 151856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY LEAVING CONDITIONS CLEAR AND 
DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS UNTIL A 
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY PRODUCING HIGHER 
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL 
FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT LEAVING TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   73-78 (+9)   49-54        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   23-28 (-1)   75-80        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     SW 13 G22    SW 10 G21    SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   71-76 (+7)   43-48        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    20-25 (-6)   77-82        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     SW 11 G20    SW  9 G19    SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   72-77 (+8)   39-44        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   16-21 (-10)  87-92        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G17                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     SW 12 G22    SW 11 G23    SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   76-81 (+6)   40-45        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  17-22 (-6)   87-92        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    S  8 G18     SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   77-82 (+8)   38-43        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   15-20 (-7)   89-94        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  6        SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   75-80 (+8)   45-50        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   21-26 (-4)   82-87        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW 10 G19    SW  7 G15    SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   76-81 (+8)   47-52        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    24-29 (0)    83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  8 G17    SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011 /156 PM CDT SAT OCT 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   78-83 (+7)   47-52        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   21-26 (-4)   88-93        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  8 G17    SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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