
311 
FNUS54 KMRX 150706
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON 
AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 
ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   37-42 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   79-84 (+3)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  5         SW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      SW 26        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   36-41 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   84-89 (+8)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G25                  SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W  8 G17     SW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 23         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   35-40 (-3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   92-97 (+9)   19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  5         SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   36-41 (-3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   93-98 (+7)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G16                 S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   34-39 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   95-100 (+9)  19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W 23         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   37-42 (-3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   84-89 (+6)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G21                  SW  5 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   38-43 (-2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   83-88 (+1)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2011 /500 AM CDT SAT OCT 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   39-44 (-3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   81-86 (+1)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. NOT AS WARM. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

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