
250 
FNUS54 KMRX 141850
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS AND LITTLE COOLER 
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT 
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   62-67 (-4)   39-44        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-22)  24-29 (-5)   73-78        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  SW  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W 10 G22     SW  6 G15    SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         136 VERY GOOD             76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   61-66 (-4)   34-39        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-27)  22-27 (-6)   76-81        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G27     W 11 G23     W  6 G16     SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         133 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   63-68 (-2)   33-38        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-22)  15-20 (-9)   81-86        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     W  8 G16     W  6         SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   67-72 (-2)   35-40        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-22)  16-21 (-9)   78-83        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   68-73 (0)    32-37        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-18)  15-20 (-9)   85-90        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   65-70 (-3)   37-42        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-24)  22-27 (-5)   78-83        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         128 VERY GOOD             62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   67-72 (-1)   39-44        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-21)  22-27 (-7)   81-86        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011 /150 PM CDT FRI OCT 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   70-75 (-1)   40-45        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-15)  20-25 (-8)   85-90        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
NOT AS WARM. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

