
070 
FNUS54 KMRX 140811
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON 
AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN NORMAL. 
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY... 
BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   39-44 (-9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-45)  80-85 (-15)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G24                  W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W 11 G21     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      W 26         
DISPERSION            190 VERY GOOD             78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   38-43 (-9)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-44)  73-78 (-22)  24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G28                  W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G32     W 14 G26     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 30         
DISPERSION            171 VERY GOOD             63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   38-43 (-7)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-44)  74-79 (-19)  18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G34     W 12 G26     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 24         
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   40-45 (-7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-43)  70-75 (-18)  19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G21                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W  7 G17     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   39-44 (-7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-40)  71-76 (-16)  17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G23                 NW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W  8 G18     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            121 VERY GOOD             55 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   40-45 (-8)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-45)  79-84 (-17)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W  9 G19     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      W 25         
DISPERSION            177 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   40-45 (-8)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-46)  77-82 (-16)  22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G23                  W  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W  7 G15     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 21         
DISPERSION            149 VERY GOOD             62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011 /500 AM CDT FRI OCT 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   42-47 (-6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-43)  76-81 (-13)  21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     W  6         W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     W 18         
DISPERSION            144 VERY GOOD             55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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