
394 
FNUS54 KMRX 131919
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE THIS 
EVENING. HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT 
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS THE FRONT SHIFTS TO OUR EAST. EXPECT DRY 
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER 
THAN NORMAL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THEN WARM TO AROUND SEASONAL 
NORMALS BY SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   64-69 (+2)   39-44        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  30-35 (-47)  79-84        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  W 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    W 15 G28     W  9 G19     W 11 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         182 VERY GOOD             128 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   63-68 (+3)   38-43        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  28-33 (-47)  74-79        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G25                  W 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W 18 G33     W 11 G25     W 13 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 40                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         182 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   64-69 (+4)   37-42        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  24-29 (-50)  75-80        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     W 18 G34     W 10 G25     W 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         167 VERY GOOD             57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   69-74 (+6)   38-43        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    23-28 (-49)  72-77        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G18                  NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 14 G27     W  7 G17     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         189 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   69-74 (+6)   36-41        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   20-25 (-50)  75-80        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G21                 NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 15 G27     W  7 G18     NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 38                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         192 VERY GOOD             80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   67-72 (+5)   38-43        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  25-30 (-50)  80-85        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G22                  W 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W 17 G30     W  7 G18     W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 40                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         196 VERY GOOD             109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   68-73 (+6)   41-46        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  26-31 (-49)  77-82        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G22                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W 15 G28     W  6         W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         196 VERY GOOD             84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
319 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011 /219 PM CDT THU OCT 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-7)   71-76 (+8)   43-48        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    24-29 (-47)  76-81        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G20                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W 13 G26     W  6 G15     W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         191 VERY GOOD             73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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