
252 
FNUS54 KMRX 130846
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST THIS 
MORNING...WITH RAIN SHOWERS INCREASING TODAY. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY THEN EXIT 
THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS...WITH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE 
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   48-53 (-5)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   95-100 (+2)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.18         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 30         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   146 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   46-51 (-6)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   95-100 (+4)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  5 G15     W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.16         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   148 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-140945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   45-50 (-8)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    95-100 (+7)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8 G17     W 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   121 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   47-52 (-7)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   93-98 (+3)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  7         NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   141 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   46-51 (-8)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   91-96 (+2)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  7         NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 30        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               155 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    48-53 (-3)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   95-100 (+1)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   156 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   49-54 (-4)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   95-100 (+1)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  6         W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   143 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
446 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011 /346 AM CDT THU OCT 13 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   48-53 (-7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   95-100 (+1)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W  7 G15     NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   155 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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