
920 
FNUS54 KMRX 121916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST TONIGHT...WITH 
CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS INCREASING TOWARD DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY. 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE 
DAY THEN EXIT THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS...WITH 
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   66-71 (+1)   48-53        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  67-72 (+4)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6        W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.36         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   119 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   63-68 (-1)   46-51        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  68-73 (+7)   95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.38         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-132030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   63-68 (-1)   45-50        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   63-68 (-2)   95-100       34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    SW  7 G15    W 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.29         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   66-71 (-3)   47-52        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   63-68 (+2)   88-93        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  5        NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.25         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   115 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   66-71 (-3)   46-51        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   60-65 (+1)   85-90        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        W  5         NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.22         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   127 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   67-72 (+1)   48-53        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  64-69 (+1)   95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6        W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.36         0.12         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   132 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   67-72 (0)    49-54        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  63-68 (+1)   95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  6 G15    W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.34         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               116 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011 /216 PM CDT WED OCT 12 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   66-71 (-3)   49-54        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  61-66 (-2)   89-94        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    W  6         NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.28         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               118 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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