
701 
FNUS54 KMRX 120815
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO 
MOVE NORTH TODAY WITH RAIN ENDING THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL 
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST THURSDAY...BRINGING WITH IT AN 
INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   51-56 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+14)  95-100 (+4)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         5 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S 10         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+8)   51-56 (+1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   95-100 (+1)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         5 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  9         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+10)  51-56 (+1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-16)  95-100 (0)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+13)  52-57 (0)    67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-17)  95-100 (-1)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+12)  51-56 (0)    67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-18)  95-100 (0)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   50-55 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    95-100 (+4)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         5 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW  8        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   52-57 (0)    67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-15)  95-100 (+2)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
415 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011 /315 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+11)  54-59 (0)    68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-24)  95-100 (0)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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