
460 
FNUS54 KMRX 110736
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA...WILL 
SPREAD CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND PATCHES OF RAIN 
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE 
WEST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...BRINGING WITH IT 
ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  49-54 (-4)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+28)  95-100 (+20) 53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.42         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 26                      W  5         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   48-53 (-3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+27)  95-100 (+14) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.52         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 26                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   46-51 (-4)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+26)  95-100 (+14) 48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.28         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   49-54 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+27)  92-97 (+5)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   49-54 (-2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+24)  95-100 (+7)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  49-54 (-3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+29)  95-100 (+15) 49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.36         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 23                      W  6         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-12)  49-54 (-5)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+30)  95-100 (+16) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 16                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
336 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2011 /236 AM CDT TUE OCT 11 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  50-55 (-4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+28)  92-97 (+5)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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