
696 
FNUS54 KMRX 101847
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA...WILL 
SPREAD CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND PATCHES OF RAIN 
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE 
WEST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...BRINGING WITH IT 
ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   62-67 (-11)  49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   56-61 (+28)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         E  9 G19     E  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.42         0.42         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 24                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   61-66 (-8)   48-53        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   58-63 (+28)  95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G19     E  9 G21     E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.73         0.46         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 23                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   61-66 (-4)   46-51        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-11)  56-61 (+22)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G18     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           80           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.48         0.30         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   63-68 (-5)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-13)  54-59 (+17)  93-98        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.40         0.21         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   63-68 (-4)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-16)  55-60 (+18)  94-99        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.49         0.25         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   64-69 (-9)   49-54        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   59-64 (+29)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  7 G15     E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.45         0.38         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 20                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   64-69 (-8)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   59-64 (+27)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.30         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
247 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011 /147 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   64-69 (-8)   50-55        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   59-64 (+21)  92-97        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.22         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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