
805 
FNUS54 KMRX 100642
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OUT TO THE NORTHEAST 
ALLOWING MOISTURE TO FILTER IN FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...BRINGING INCREASED MID AND HIGH CLOUD COVER 
OVER THE AREA. CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM MOVE UP THE 
ATLANTIC COAST.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   50-55 (+2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   84-89 (+12)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8                      NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     E 22         
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   49-54 (+3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   86-91 (+8)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G18                  E  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G15     E  5         NE  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 24                     E 22         
DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   49-54 (0)    61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   88-93 (+9)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G17     E  7 G17     NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     E 15         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   51-56 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   83-88 (0)    55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G19                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G15     E  7 G16     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 17                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   51-56 (+1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   84-89 (-1)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G15     E  8 G16     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 23                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   51-56 (+3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    84-89 (+5)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G15                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     E 21         
DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   52-57 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   82-87 (-1)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7                      NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      E 17         
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
242 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2011 /142 AM CDT MON OCT 10 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   52-57 (-1)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   84-89 (+4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G15                  NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE 15        
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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